Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Centreville Bank Stadium (Pawtucket, RI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Rhode Island		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.08	3.5	3.05
	1.96	3.71	3.49
	2.35	3.27	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.03	3.45	3.33	Watch
	2.08	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.37)	3.4 ↑ (3.18)	3.11 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rhode Island
43.4%

Draw
27%

North Carolina
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.1%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Rhode Island - North Carolina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Rhode Island (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 33.3%). North Carolina (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lee J. (G) 14. Hope-Gund R. 24. Yao K. 6. Mabika A. (C) 3. Sanchez A. 77. Shapiro-Thompson A. 20. Herivaux Z. 18. Brito J. 21. Rodriguez M. 11. Fuson N. 10. Dikwa A.	1. McGuire J. (G) 66. Sundstrom F. 27. Washington B. 5. Craig P. (C) 14. Rafa Mentzingen 17. Martin C. 15. Maldonado M. 11. Burner P. 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. 26. Luckhurst A.
Substitutes
80. Angking I. 12. Holstad C. 13. Meyer W. (G) 15. Nodarse F. 8. Okiyoshi T. 2. Rovira D. 5. Stoneman G.	19. Al Qaq A. 9. Anderson O. 16. Da Costa R. 20. Donovan C. 55. Hodge T. 24. Mulqueen T. (G) 10. Servania J. 44. Sommersall R.
Coaches
Smith K.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Perez L. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Dikwa A. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
23', Sanchez A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Rafa Mentzingen ⚽, Pedro Becker (A),
40', Burner P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sanchez A. ↓, Nodarse F. ↑,
70', Brito J. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
79', Fuson N. ↓, Angking I. ↑,
82', Nodarse F. 🟨,
84', Martin C. ↓, Sommersall R. ↑,
90', Luckhurst A. ↓, Anderson O. ↑,
90', Perez L. ↓, Da Costa R. ↑,
90', Herivaux Z. ↓, Rovira D. ↑,
90', Shapiro-Thompson A. ↓, Okiyoshi T. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Rodriguez M. (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Rhode Island has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North Carolina is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rhode Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rhode Island will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rhode Island FC
USL Championship
11.06.25	Louisville City - Rhode Island	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Rhode Island - Miami	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
24.05.25	Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWLW
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
06.06.25	Hartford Athletic - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
31.05.25	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
16.05.25	North Carolina - Oakland Roots	4:2 ✺
09.05.25	North Carolina - Orange County SC	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
06.05.25	North Carolina - Charlotte	1:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
27.07.24	Rhode Island - North Carolina	2:1
04.05.24	North Carolina - Rhode Island	0:0

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