Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Krimeja (Rijeka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Sport TV1


	Rijeka		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
				Watch
	3.4	4	1.73
	3.63	3.9	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.46)	3.95 ↑ (3.76)	1.83 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
26.2%

Draw
23.3%

Sturm Graz
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

25.3%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturm Graz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturm Graz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rijeka - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Scherpen K. (G)
	47. Aiwu E.
	15. Boving W.
	36. Camara A.
	4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C)
	19. Horvat T.
	10. Kiteishvili O.
	24. Lavalee D.
	23. Malic A.
	5. Wuthrich G.
	8. Yalcouye M.
Substitutes
	40. Bignetti M. (G)
	. Hiedl.
	29. Koita Y.
	30. Mustafic S.
	37. Stosic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Pasalic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Rijeka is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sturm is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sturm will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Club Friendly
08.01.25	Rijeka - Primorje	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.12.24	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Rijeka - Gorica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWW
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Orijent - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sturm Graz - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
08.01.25	Sturm Graz - Lugano	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.24	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.01.24	Sturm Graz - Rijeka	2:1

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