Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday


	Sturm Graz		Lugano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.25	2.75
				Watch
	2.24	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.75
	2.32	3.64	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.84)	3.45 ↓ (3.67)	2.8 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
40.7%

Draw
26.6%

Lugano
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sturm Graz - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Khudyakov D. (G)
47. Aiwu E.
21. Chukwuani T.
35. Geyrhofer N.
38. Grgic L.
25. Hierlander S. (C)
20. Jatta S.
24. Lavalee D.
23. Malic A.
8. Yalcouye M.
14. Zvonarek L.
Substitutes
. Afrifa L.
. Beganovic B.
. Camara A.
. Gorenc Stankovic J.
. Horvat T.
. Johnston M.
. Karic E.
. Kiteishvili O.
. Lorenz E. (G)
. Schopp K.
. Sorg O.
. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)
. Wuthrich G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Grgic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, (Own goal),
71', 2 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Sturm will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Champions League
11.12.24	Lille - Sturm Graz	3:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
07.12.24	Swarovski Tirol - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Rheindorf Altach - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.11.24	Sturm Graz - Girona	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
23.11.24	Sturm Graz - Austria Klagenfurt	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWTWW
- FC Lugano
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Lugano - Paphos	2:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
15.12.24	Lugano - Lausanne-Sport	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Legia Warsaw - Lugano	1:2 ✺
Swiss Super League
07.12.24	Luzern - Lugano	1:4 ✺
Swiss Cup
04.12.24	Yverdon - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWW

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