Match Info
Liga Portugal - Round 29Date: 13 April 2026, MondayLocation: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | ZAP |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
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Tondela |
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Gil Vicente |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tondela
22.1% | Draw
28.6% | Gil Vicente
49.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 35.2% – 92%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Tondela (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Gil Vicente (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
31.  Bernardo (G)
2. Bebeto (C)
44.  Silva J.
4. Marques C.
27. Conceicao R.
10.  Hodge J.
32.  Rodriguez J.
7. Pedro Maranhao
79. Felix H.
70.  Ouattara M.
16. Rony Lopes
| 99. Figueira Daniel (G)
2. Ze Carlos (C)
48.  Espigares A.
39.  Buatu J.
3. Konan G.
5.  Caseres F.
95. Garcia S.
77. Murilo de Souza
10. Esteves L.
27.  Moreira A.
89. Varela G.
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| Substitutes |
5. Afonso J.
90.  Aiko M.
30. Canizares L. (G)
48. Manso T.
20.  Medina B.
29.  Siebatcheu J.
15.  Sithole S.
8.  Tavares H.
26.  van der Heide A.
| 29. Carlos Eduardo
11. Fernandes J.
32. Fernandez M.
20. Hevertton S.
30. Lucao (G)
45. Mutombo J.
19. Pinto Martins G.
80. Rodrigues R.
26. Weverson
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| Coaches |
Feio G.
| Peixoto C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Marques C. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Rony Lopes ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Murilo de Souza (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ouattara M. 🟨,
- 57', Murilo de Souza 🟨,
- 60', Ouattara M. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 60', Felix H. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 66', Canizares L. 🟨,
- 68', Pedro Maranhao ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 74', Rony Lopes ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
- 74', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 75', Bebeto ↓, Manso T. ↑,
- 79', Silva J. 🟨,
- 85', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 85', Murilo de Souza ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
- 90+4', Bebeto 🟨,
- 90+8', Hodge J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Hodge J. ⚽,
- 90+9', Conceicao R. 🟨,
- 90+9', Buatu J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, Gil Vicente is considered a favorite.There will not play in Tondela: Cicero
(Muscle Injury)There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Hernandez H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Yellow Cards)There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M.
(Injury)
Mutombo J.
(Injury)In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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