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Current Win Probability
Tondela 22.1%
Draw 28.6%
Gil Vicente 49.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.3%
27.9%
49.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
27%
51.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
28.6%
64.3%
Tondela - Gil Vicente Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Tondela (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Gil Vicente (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bernardo (G) 2. Bebeto (C) 44. Silva J. 4. Marques C. 27. Conceicao R. 10. Hodge J. 32. Rodriguez J. 7. Pedro Maranhao 79. Felix H. 70. Ouattara M. 16. Rony Lopes
99. Figueira Daniel (G) 2. Ze Carlos (C) 48. Espigares A. 39. Buatu J. 3. Konan G. 5. Caseres F. 95. Garcia S. 77. Murilo de Souza 10. Esteves L. 27. Moreira A. 89. Varela G.
Substitutes
5. Afonso J. 90. Aiko M. 30. Canizares L. (G) 48. Manso T. 20. Medina B. 29. Siebatcheu J. 15. Sithole S. 8. Tavares H. 26. van der Heide A.
29. Carlos Eduardo 11. Fernandes J. 32. Fernandez M. 20. Hevertton S. 30. Lucao (G) 45. Mutombo J. 19. Pinto Martins G. 80. Rodrigues R. 26. Weverson
Coaches
Feio G.
Peixoto C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Marques C. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Rony Lopes ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Murilo de Souza (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ouattara M. 🟨,
57', Murilo de Souza 🟨,
60', Ouattara M. ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
60', Felix H. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
66', Canizares L. 🟨,
68', Pedro Maranhao ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
74', Rony Lopes ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
74', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
75', Bebeto ↓, Manso T. ↑,
79', Silva J. 🟨,
85', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
85', Murilo de Souza ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Carlos Eduardo ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
90+4', Bebeto 🟨,
90+8', Hodge J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', 2 - 2, Hodge J. ⚽,
90+9', Conceicao R. 🟨,
90+9', Buatu J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Gil Vicente is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tondela: Cicero
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Injury)
Hernandez H.
(Muscle Injury)
Ze Carlos
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Elimbi M.
(Injury)
Mutombo J.
(Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tondela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Africa
Portugal
Ukraine
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Bernardo (G) 
Silva J. 
Hodge J. 
Rodriguez J. 
Ouattara M. 
Espigares A. 
Buatu J. 
Caseres F. 
Moreira A. 
Aiko M. 
Medina B. 
Siebatcheu J. 
Sithole S. 
Tavares H. 
van der Heide A. 
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