Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 28

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Portugal	Sport TV1
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino


	Rio Ave		Alverca

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.15	2.48	Watch
	2.98	3.27	2.56
	2.93	3.24	2.49	Watch
	2.88	3	2.45	Watch
	2.99	3.27	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.51)	3.2 ↓ (3.37)	2.48 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
32.2%

Draw
29.6%

Alverca
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rio Ave's form might have worsened.

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio Ave, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Rio Ave - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. van der Gouw E. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 80. Pohlmann O. 18. Spikic D. 11. Blesa J.	31. Matheus Mendes (G) 4. Naves 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 26. Rhaldney 18. Lincoln 12. James I. 20. Figueiredo 91. Sandro Lima 10. Chiquinho
Substitutes
54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 1. Miszta C. (G) 9. Monteiro T. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 77. Richards O. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J.	14. Baseya S. 19. Clairicia M. 6. Gui D. 35. Kassary Z. 9. Marezi 1. Mateus Oliveira (G) 17. Moreira V. 11. Nuozzi C. 82. Spencer D.
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Custodio

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Figueiredo ⚽, Lincoln (A),
21', 0 - 2, Sandro Lima ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
42', Nikitscher T. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Vrousai M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Blesa J. ⚽, Abbey N. (A),
68', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
68', Pohlmann O. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
68', Figueiredo ↓, Nuozzi C. ↑,
73', Rhaldney ↓, Marezi ↑,
74', Sandro Lima 🟨,
74', Blesa J. 🟨,
75', Sandro Lima ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
79', Spikic D. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
81', Ntoi A. ↓, Liavas G. ↑,
85', Chiquinho ↓, Spencer D. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

Rio Ave is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alverca has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
22.03.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Tondela - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rio Ave - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Porto - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WWWTL
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
22.03.26	Alverca - Sporting Lisbon	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Gil Vicente - Alverca	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Alverca	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.11.25	Alverca - Rio Ave	1:1
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Alverca - Rio Ave	2:3 penalties
24.11.19	Rio Ave - Alverca	1:0

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