Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio do Rio Ave (Vila do Conde)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine


	Rio Ave		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.73	3.96	5.07
	1.69	3.91	4.85	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6	Watch
	1.77	3.84	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.97)	3.79 ↑ (3.67)	4.86 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave
55.5%

Draw
25%

AVS
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

26.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.5%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Ave's performance.

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Ave that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.1%	3.4%	3.4%

Rio Ave - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: Rio Ave will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rio Ave will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miszta C. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 5. Ntoi A. 8. Ryan Guilherme 7. Diogo Bezerra 80. Pohlmann O. 18. Spikic D. 11. Blesa J.	1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 42. Devenish C. (C) 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas D. 23. Mendonca G. 70. Roni 8. Pedro Lima 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane 14. Perea O.
Substitutes
54. Liavas G. 9. Monteiro T. 44. Nikitscher T. 19. Papakanellos A. 23. Petrasso F. 25. Rafael Lobato 77. Richards O. 20. Tome J. 99. van der Gouw E. (G)	27. Algobia A. 20. Duarte D. 19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 26. Ponck 33. Santos A. 88. Trigueira (G)
Coaches
Sylaidopoulos S.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Pohlmann O. ⚽, Diogo Bezerra (A),
32', 1 - 1, Tomane ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Perea O. ↓, Kiki ↑,
64', Ryan Guilherme ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
64', Rivas D. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
66', Ntoi A. 🟨,
68', 1 - 2, Pedro Lima ⚽, Neiva G. (A),
74', Spikic D. ↓, Papakanellos A. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Ntoi A. ⚽,
85', Pohlmann O. ↓, Nikitscher T. ↑,
85', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Rafael Lobato ↑,
85', Mendonca G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
90', Tomane 🟨,
90+1', Akinsola T. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
90+1', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
90+3', Paulo Vitor 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Rio Ave is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

AVS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rio Ave is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Rio Ave will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Ave won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
11.04.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Rio Ave - Alverca	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Tondela - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WLWWW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
11.04.26	AVS - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Gil Vicente - AVS	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tondela - AVS	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	AVS - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Alverca - AVS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
06.12.25	AVS - Rio Ave	1:2
16.02.25	Rio Ave - AVS	1:1
14.09.24	AVS - Rio Ave	1:0

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