Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro)

Referee: Marquez C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Rionegro Águilas		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.88	2.92	2.62	Watch
	3.06	3.05	2.63
	2.86	3.02	2.61	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.86	2.85	2.64	Watch
	3	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (1.88)	2.94 ↓ (3.2)	2.64 ↓ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
32.7%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Cali
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

29.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rionegro Águilas's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Cali's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Lozano D. 29. Lopes H. 5. Hernandez D. 32. Mena J. 9. Rivaldo J. 15. Suarez Chalare F. A. 19. Lozano F. (C) 10. Uruena B. 16. Pineda J. 99. Obregon J.	1. Gallese P. (G) 27. Viafara F. 2. Aguilar F. 4. Alvarez F. 3. Correa A. 13. Quintero Y. 25. Colorado A. 18. Hurtado A. (C) 10. Reynoso E. 19. Martinez J. 9. Dinenno J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez A. 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 17. Blandon T. 11. Canozales C. 20. Higgins A. . Londono C. 25. Roa J. 12. Salazar A. (G)	11. Aponza J. 12. Caldera Alvis J. C. 8. Giraldo D. 14. Mena J. 39. Orozco M. 6. Pajaro R. 32. Rojo A. (G) 26. Tello J. 23. Titi
Coaches
Nino J.	Gamero A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Hernandez D. 🟨,
35', Correa A. 🟨,
40', Dinenno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dinenno J. ↓, Titi ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Mena J. (A),
58', Correa A. 🟨,
61', Hurtado A. ↓, Tello J. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Aguilar F. ⚽, Reynoso E. (A),
70', Colorado A. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
70', Mena J. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
76', Reynoso E. 🟨,
76', Reynoso E. ↓, Aponza J. ↑,
76', Quintero Y. ↓, Pajaro R. ↑,
79', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
79', Lopes H. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
83', Obregon J. ↓, Roa J. ↑,
89', Rivaldo J. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 1, Lozano F. ⚽, Uruena B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 3.

Rionegro Águilas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dep. Cali	13	7	4	2	20:9	11	25
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Cali - the odds 4.45 are the expected chance of winning is 21.02%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Primera A
25.01.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pasto	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
13.11.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Rionegro Águilas - Envigado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLW
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
24.01.26	Deportivo Cali - Independiente Medellín	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
13.11.25	Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Deportivo Cali	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
28.09.25	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	3:1
11.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
13.10.24	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	1:1
31.03.24	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:4
06.12.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	3:1
13.11.23	Deportivo Cali - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
11.08.23	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Cali	1:0

Upcoming Matches