Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cincuentenario (Medellín)

Referee: Ospina J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Rionegro Águilas		Independiente Santa Fe

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.00	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.55
	2.85	3.10	2.60	Watch
	2.63	2.99	3.09
	2.55	2.95	3	Watch
	2.6	2.9	3.05
	2.75	2.86	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.63)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	2.82 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rionegro Águilas
35%

Draw
31.7%

Independiente Santa Fe
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

31%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Independiente Santa Fe have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soto J. (G) 13. Melendez J. 3. Ontaneda J. 4. Mosquera A. 32. Mena J. 25. Roa J. 19. Lozano F. (C) 7. Arizalas E. 10. Noguera J. 8. Ricaurte A. 9. Vasquez A.	1. Mosquera A. (C) 4. Puerta M. 18. Olivera E. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 24. Angulo J. 7. Torres J. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 14. Palacios L. 8. Fernandez O. 9. Fagundez F. 19. Bustos N.
Substitutes
34. Arango H. (G) 24. Avalo Trejos J. E. 27. Londono C. 26. Lozano D. 21. Marquez R. 16. Ramirez M. 28. Rodriguez S. 6. Rojas I.	12. Asprilla W. (G) 35. Balanta K. 40. Cuesta M. 17. Lovera M. 77. Obrian J. 11. Rodallega H. 16. Torres D. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Robatto F.	Repetto P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
21', Fagundez F. 🟨,
26', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
28', Mena J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Ricaurte A. ⚽, Melendez J. (A),
56', Fernandez O. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
56', Fagundez F. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
57', Arizalas E. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Bustos N. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Palacios L. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
62', Ramirez M. 🟨,
71', Noguera J. ↓, Avalo Trejos J. E. ↑,
71', Vasquez A. ↓, Marquez R. ↑,
71', Puerta M. ↓, Balanta K. ↑,
71', Bustos N. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Lozano F. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
89', Ricaurte A. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
89', Melendez J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 0.

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Santa Fe	12	6	4	2	19:12	7	22
10	Aguilas	12	3	6	3	16:17	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Santa Fe - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 33.35%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rionegro Águilas
Colombian Copa
26.05.26	Real Cundinamarca - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
21.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Rionegro Águilas	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Rionegro Águilas - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Rionegro Águilas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TTWTW
- Independiente Santa Fe
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Caracas	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Platense	2:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	1:1
22.07.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
07.02.25	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	0:0
06.10.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0
24.03.24	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
07.10.23	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:5
26.04.23	Rionegro Águilas - Independiente Santa Fe	3:1

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