Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 5
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Independiente Santa Fe		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.17	3.18	3.99
	2.13	3.14	3.77	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.16	3.12	3.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.76 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
44.4%

Draw
30.6%

Platense
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

28.4%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Independiente Santa Fe - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Platense will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera A. (G) 4. Puerta M. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D. 16. Torres D. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 19. Bustos N. 8. Fernandez O. 11. Rodallega H. (C)	20. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 34. Mendia M. 3. Silva T. 5. Gomez I. 26. Ferreira P. 15. Amarfil M. 7. Mainero G. 99. Lencina G. 10. Zapiola F.
Substitutes
24. Angulo J. 12. Asprilla W. (G) 40. Cuesta M. 9. Fagundez F. 17. Lovera M. 5. Melendez J. 22. Mosquera E. 21. Murillo E. 77. Obrian J. 14. Palacios L. 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A.	24. Barrios M. 19. Bobadilla H. 41. Currado T. 27. Dalmasso S. 33. Gauto J. 23. Heredia L. 21. Lotti A. 18. Merlini B. 32. Quiros S. 6. Raggio E. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G)
Coaches
Repetto P.	Zunino W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+4', Borgogno M. 🟨,
45+5', Toscano Bassa K. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ⚽, Fernandez O. (A),
53', Puerta M. 🟨,
60', Perlaza Perea Y. A. 🟨,
61', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
61', Bustos N. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
61', Fernandez O. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
64', Lencina G. ↓, Lotti A. ↑,
64', Amarfil M. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Rodallega H. ⚽, Obrian J. (A),
73', 2 - 1, Lotti A. ⚽,
79', Mainero G. 🟨,
81', Lagos A. ↓, Raggio E. ↑,
81', Gomez I. ↓, Bobadilla H. ↑,
81', Silva T. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
87', Raggio E. 🟨,
90+3', Rodallega H. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
90+4', Torres J. 🟨,
90+8', Mosquera A. 🟨,

Preview

Santa Fe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Platense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Santa Fe will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Santa Fe: Lovera M. (Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Ingenthron C. (Knee Injury) Luna Diale M. (Inactive) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Santa Fe: Murillo E. (Injury) Olivera E. (Injury) Palacios H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Platense: Lotti A. (Injury) Nasif T. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Fe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Platense: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
16.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	América de Cali - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Inter Bogotá	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTTW
- CA Platense
Copa Argentina
13.05.26	Platense - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Platense - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.04.26	Platense - San Lorenzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Platense - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1

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