Match Info

ARGENTINA: Liga Profesional - Round 12

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	ESPN Premium
Asia	GOBX Arabic
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte, ESPNPlay Caribbean
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	FuboTV, Paramount+
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, Onefootball app, TyC Sports Internacional


	River Plate		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.49	4	6.75
	1.49	3.9	7.2	Watch
	1.5	4.15	7.56
	1.55	4.01	7.16	Watch
	1.5	3.9	7
	1.53	4.05	6.6	Watch
	1.47	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.74)	4.04 ↑ (3.49)	7.06 ↑ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

River Plate
63.1%

Draw
23.5%

Newells Old Boys
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in River Plate's performance.

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with River Plate that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.4%	0%	2.6%

River Plate - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: River Plate will win (37 of 38 users predict this - 97.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 92.28% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Armani F. (C) 16. Bustos F. 33. Pezzella G. 17. Diaz P. 24. Acuna M. 5. Kranevitter M. 31. Simon S. 8. Meza M. 30. Mastantuono F. 11. Colidio F. 9. Miguel Borja	1. Hoyos L. (G) 14. Mendez A. 6. Salcedo S. 25. Velazquez G. 23. Martino A. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 26. Mendez J. 19. Miljevic M. 7. Cardozo F. 99. Ramirez I. 77. Besozzi L.
Substitutes
29. Aliendro R. 7. Bareiro A. 20. Casco M. 13. Diaz E. 19. Echeverri C. 26. Fernandez N. 6. Gattoni F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 36. Solari P. 23. Villagra R.	16. Calderara B. 17. Carabajal G. 36. Fernandez E. 22. Fernandez J. 37. Glavinovich I. 44. Gonzalez F. 55. Jacob T. 42. Juarez A. 12. Macagno R. (G) 41. Perez T. 24. Silvetti M. 21. Vangioni L.
Coaches
Gallardo M.	Mendez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Mendez A. 🟨,
33', Pezzella G. 🟨,
36', Miljevic M. 🟨,
40', Cardozo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
46', Mastantuono F. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
53', Rodrigo Fernandez 🟨,
63', Ramirez I. 🟨,
64', Simon S. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
65', Besozzi L. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
75', Miguel Borja 🟨,
81', Ramirez I. ↓, Silvetti M. ↑,
83', Kranevitter M. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
83', Colidio F. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
90', Miljevic M. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
90', Mendez A. ↓, Jacob T. ↑,
90+2', Aliendro R. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 23).

Recent matches River Plate is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newells Old Boys has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

River Plate could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match River Plate is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in River Plate: Martinez P. (Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Injury)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Banega E. (Injury) Sotelo D. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches River Plate won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.08.24	Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	River Plate - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Unión Santa Fe - River Plate	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Godoy Cruz - River Plate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTTWL
- Newells Old Boys
Copa Argentina
21.08.24	Central Córdoba - Newells Old Boys	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Rosario Central - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
02.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Estudiantes La Plata	1:4 ✺
27.07.24	San Lorenzo - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Newells Old Boys - River Plate	0:1
13.08.22	River Plate - Newells Old Boys	4:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.02.22	Newells Old Boys - River Plate	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.09.21	Newells Old Boys - River Plate	1:4
09.09.12	River Plate - Newells Old Boys	3:3

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