Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Rochdale		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	2	Watch
	3.3	3.25	1.95
	3.6	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.45	3.3	1.96
	3.72	3.62	2
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
26.5%

Draw
27.2%

Plymouth Argyle
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

26.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

20.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Plymouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
27.11.21	Rochdale - Exeter City	1:1 ✺
23.11.21	Rochdale - Stevenage Borough	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Walsall - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Notts County - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
English League Two
13.11.21	Rochdale - Leyton Orient	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTWT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League One
27.11.21	Plymouth Argyle - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
23.11.21	Plymouth Argyle - Wycombe Wanderers	0:3 ✺
20.11.21	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Plymouth Argyle - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
English League One
13.11.21	Accrington Stanley - Plymouth Argyle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.02.21	Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle	0:0
01.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Rochdale	0:4
23.02.19	Plymouth Argyle - Rochdale	5:1
15.12.18	Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle	1:2
24.04.18	Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
28.10.17	Plymouth Argyle - Rochdale	1:1
English League Two
18.01.14	Rochdale - Plymouth Argyle	3:0

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