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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 35.2%
Draw 27.8%
Exeter City 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.5%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
20.6%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Exeter City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rochdale - Exeter City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Rochdale has the most likely position - 12 (6.33%), has project points - 63, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (10%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Exeter has the most likely position - 2 (11.36%), has project points - 75, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (33%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
Recent matches Rochdale is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Exeter is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Exeter have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
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