Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Rochdale		Sunderland

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.53
	5.75	3.8	1.57
	6.5	4.15	1.53
	6	3.95	1.52
	6.64	4.22	1.55
	6	3.9	1.52
	6.45	4.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (5.7)	4.07 ↑ (3.9)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
15.2%

Draw
23.3%

Sunderland
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

24.2%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

14%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rochdale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	14.3%	53.6%

Rochdale - Sunderland Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 15 - 53.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 35.1% – 72.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion to League One (Play Offs)).

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sunderland has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Recent matches Rochdale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sunderland is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
24.10.20	Shrewsbury Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
20.10.20	Burton Albion - Rochdale	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Rochdale - Hull City	0:3 ✺
10.10.20	Accrington Stanley - Rochdale	2:1 ✺
03.10.20	Rochdale - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWLLW
- Sunderland AFC
English League One
24.10.20	Sunderland - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
20.10.20	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
17.10.20	Swindon Town - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Sunderland - Carlisle United	5:3 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	Charlton Athletic - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.20	Sunderland - Rochdale	3:0
20.08.19	Rochdale - Sunderland	1:2
06.04.19	Rochdale - Sunderland	1:2
22.09.18	Sunderland - Rochdale	4:1

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