Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lorient		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	5	Watch
	1.59	3.75	4.9
	1.58	4.23	5.68
	1.57	4.17	5.34	Watch
	1.62	3.9	5
	1.61	4.31	5.47	Watch
	1.59	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	4.03 ↑ (3.75)	5.18 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
58.8%

Draw
23.2%

Rodez
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

24.3%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	5.9%	47.1%

Lorient - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). Rodez will win (votes: 16 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 30.3% – 63.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 15. Laporte J. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 6. Abergel L. (C) 77. Katseris P. 62. Avom A. 17. Makengo J. 27. Tosin A. 22. Kroupi E. J.	16. Mpasi-Nzau L. (G) 25. Galves N. 6. Ngouyamsa Nounchil A. T. 2. Vandenabeele E. 4. Mambo S. 28. Abdallah A. (C) 19. Mazou-Sacko D. 5. Cadiou N. 10. Taibi W. 9. Nkada T. 22. Bentayeb T.
Substitutes
9. Bamba M. 75. Fadiga B. 66. James I. 1. Leroy B. (G) 5. Mendy F. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 28. Soumano S.	18. Balde I. 11. Bouchouari M. 15. Cissokho T. 30. Crombez E. (G) 27. Trouillet A. 26. Verdier Y. 8. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Abdallah A. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Katseris P. ⚽, Talbi M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tosin A. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
67', Taibi W. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
67', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
72', 🟨,
73', 2 - 1, Kroupi E. J. (Pen),
76', Bentayeb T. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
76', Abdallah A. ↓, Bouchouari M. ↑,
79', Galves N. 🟨,
81', Katseris P. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
83', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Fadiga B. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Abergel L. ⚽,
90+2', Makengo J. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 14).

Lorient is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rodez is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Bamba M. (Injury) Diarra S. (Injury) Kalulu G. (Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Chougrani J. (Injury) Cibois S. (Injury) Lipinski R. (Knee Injury) Pelon A. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Lorient to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
22.02.25	Lorient - Laval	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Troyes - Lorient	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Lorient - Amiens	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Red Star - Lorient	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Rodez - Amiens	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Pau - Rodez	0:5 ✺
07.02.25	Rodez - Bastia	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Grenoble - Rodez	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Rodez - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.10.24	Rodez - Lorient	3:3
21.02.20	Rodez - Lorient	0:1
23.09.19	Lorient - Rodez	2:1

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