Match Info

RUSSIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 7 June 2023, Wednesday

Location: Spartakovets imeni N.P. Starostina (Moscow)

Referee: Levnikov K. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	3.92	3.24	2.15
	4	3.2	2.02
	3.45	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (4.68)	3.23 ↓ (3.66)	2.11 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
25.2%

Draw
29.5%

Nizhny Novgorod
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

30.5%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nizhny Novgorod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rodina Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Rodina Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodina: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aidarov S. (G) 21. Yudintsev G. 55. Krizan M. 37. Pliev Z. (C) 36. Voropaev A. 70. Andreev I. 33. Wesley Nata 6. Fishchenko R. 72. Gordyushenko A. 91. Kalmykov A. 99. Timoshenko I.	25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 22. Kakkoev N. 24. Gotsuk K. (C) 2. Aleksandrov V. 89. Stotsky D. 78. Kalinski N. 8. Maiga M. 4. Zhigulev I. 94. Rybchinskiy D. 93. Suleymanov T. 7. Sevikyan E.
Substitutes
3. Alikin P. 19. Baytukov R. 30. Danilin M. 34. Dmitriev O. 49. Karaev M. 22. Kleshchenko A. 12. Kolesnichenko K. 78. Kul R. 10. Martovoy D. 23. Sangare D. (G) 15. Shadrintsev D.	1. Anisimov A. (G) 11. Berkovskiy I. 13. Goylo N. (G) 9. Krotov V. 5. Masoero L. 14. Mikhailov I. 37. Sharipov A. 90. Shiltsov K. 18. Sokolov A. 20. Yakovlev V. 99. Yansane M. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Parfenov D.	Yuran S.

Preview

1st leg.

Rodina is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Nizhny Novgorod is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nizhny Novgorod will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Rodina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
03.06.23	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Rodina Moscow - Kuban Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
13.05.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Rodina Moscow	1:5 ✺
07.05.23	Rodina Moscow - Ufa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTWW
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
03.06.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Khimki	2:0 ✺
28.05.23	Spartak Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
22.05.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:0 ✺
14.05.23	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
07.05.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Ural	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.02.23	Rodina Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1

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