Match Info

Date: 20 February 2020, Thursday


	Roma		Gent

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.44	4.75	7
	1.44	4.9	7
	1.42	4.53	6.35
	1.42	4.8	7.16
	1.42	4.75	7
	1.46	4.98	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	4.78 ↑ (4.5)	7 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
66.4%

Draw
19.9%

Gent
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

21.1%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

13%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

The chances for Gent have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gent could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.4%	6.5%	13.1%

Roma - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (86 of 107 users predict this - 80.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.84% – 87.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
15.02.20	Atalanta - Roma	2:1 ✺
07.02.20	Roma - Bologna	2:3 ✺
01.02.20	Sassuolo - Roma	4:2 ✺
26.01.20	Roma - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
22.01.20	Juventus - Roma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.02.20	Eupen - Gent	2:3 ✺
07.02.20	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
01.02.20	KV Mechelen - Gent	0:3 ✺
25.01.20	Gent - Genk	4:1 ✺
18.01.20	Gent - Mouscron	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW

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