Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Hungary	RTL+
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Roma		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7.5
	1.35	5.25	8.25
	1.32	5.7	9.25
	1.35	5.4	8.2
	1.35	5.53	9.17
	1.3	5.25	10
	1.36	5.75	10.75
	1.36	5.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.26)	5.47 ↓ (5.66)	8.92 ↓ (12.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
71.6%

Draw
17.6%

Ludogorets Razgrad
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.6%

16.8%

7.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	8.2%	15.1%

Roma - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Roma will win (votes: 56 - 76.7%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 11 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 8.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 67% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roma has a good chance of knockout phase (80%), has a chance of round of 16 (42%), has a chance of qtrs (25%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (3%), has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a good chance of 2nd (80%), has a chance of 3rd (20%).

Ludogorets has a chance of knockout phase (20%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (3%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 7, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (20%), has a good chance of 3rd (80%).

This event has quality 54, very big importance 100, big match rating 77. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Ludogorets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Roma have a series of guest games.

Recently Ludogorets have a series of home games.

In this match Roma is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Darboe E. (Knee Injury) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury) Mancini G. (Yellow Cards) Spinazzola L. (Injury) Wijnaldum G. (Broken shinbone) Zaniolo N. (Red Card)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Roma won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
31.10.22	Verona - Roma	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	HJK - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.10.22	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
17.10.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Betis - Roma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWT
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
30.10.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Septemvri Sofia	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Betis	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.10.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
17.10.22	Beroe Stara Zagora - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - HJK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
08.09.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Roma	2:1

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