Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
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Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
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Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
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Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	Gotv
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
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Slovakia	Voyo
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South-america	ESPN South
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Roma		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.32	5.55	10
	1.33	5.73	9.03
	4.47	4.03	1.69	Watch
	1.36	5.57	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.36)	5.28 ↑ (5.17)	7.88 ↑ (7.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
61.8%

Draw
22.9%

Viktoria Plzeň
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

18.2%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

17.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

Roma - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Plzeň (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (30 of 36 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.15% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Plzeň (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 24. Ziolkowski J. 23. Mancini G. (C) 22. Hermoso M. 19. Celik Z. 17. Kone M. 8. El Aynaoui N. 43. Wesley Franca 18. Soule M. 21. Dybala P. 9. Dovbyk A.	23. Jedlicka M. (G) 22. Paluska J. 40. Dweh S. 21. Jemelka V. 5. Spacil K. 99. Memic A. 6. Cerv L. (C) 19. Souare C. 18. Ladra T. 17. Durosinmi R. 80. Adu P.
Substitutes
31. Bailey L. 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 92. El Shaarawy S. 11. Ferguson E. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 5. Ndicka E. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 12. Tsimikas K.	72. Bello J. 24. Havel M. 7. Kabongo C. 3. Markovic S. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 9. Visinsky D. 44. Wiegele F. (G) 85. Zeljkovic A.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Hysky M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Adu P. ⚽, Jedlicka M. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Souare C. ⚽, Dweh S. (A),
30', Durosinmi R. 🟨,
30', Ziolkowski J. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kone M. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Dybala P. (Pen),
55', Hysky M. 🟨,
56', Celik Z. 🟨,
60', Souare C. 🟨,
64', Jemelka V. ↓, Markovic S. ↑,
64', Ladra T. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
67', Spacil K. 🟨,
67', Celik Z. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
68', Paluska J. ↓, Havel M. ↑,
74', Dovbyk A. ↓, Ferguson E. ↑,
74', Soule M. ↓, Ndicka E. ↑,
75', Cerv L. 🟨,
80', Mancini G. 🟨,
81', Spacil K. ↓, Zeljkovic A. ↑,
81', Adu P. ↓, Bello J. ↑,
90+5', Dweh S. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Roma is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Roma: Angelino (Illness) Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Plzeň: Doski M. (Red Card) Hejda L. (Inactive) Kopic J. (Knee Injury) Panos J. (Injury) Valenta M. (Injury) Vydra M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Roma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
18.10.25	Roma - Inter Milan	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fiorentina - Roma	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Roma - Lille	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.25	Bohemians 1905 - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Hradec Králové	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Malmö	3:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
28.09.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Zlín	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Ferencvárosi - Viktoria Plzeň	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
12.12.18	Viktoria Plzeň - Roma	2:1
02.10.18	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	5:0
UEFA Europa League
24.11.16	Roma - Viktoria Plzeň	4:1
15.09.16	Viktoria Plzeň - Roma	1:1

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