Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Tipik
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Sport 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	CANAL+ Foot, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Uno
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Roma		Lille

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.5
	1.72	4.05	4.8
	1.71	3.98	4.92
	1.71	3.93	4.43	Watch
	1.75	4.11	4.63
	1.73	3.9	4.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	4 ↓ (4.04)	4.64 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma
55.5%

Draw
23.9%

Lille
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

23.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

23.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.1%	13%	2.9%

Roma - Lille Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - draw (5.05) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Roma (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Roma will win (56 of 66 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.2% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Roma (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Lille (votes: 2 - 6.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Svilar M. (G) 19. Celik Z. 22. Hermoso M. 5. Ndicka E. 43. Wesley Franca 4. Cristante B. (C) 8. El Aynaoui N. 12. Tsimikas K. 18. Soule M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 11. Ferguson E.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 23. Mandi A. 18. Mbemba Ch. 24. Verdonk C. 27. Correia F. 6. Bentaleb N. 32. Bouaddi A. 11. Sahraoui O. 10. Haraldsson H. 9. Giroud O. (C)
Substitutes
3. Angelino 9. Dovbyk A. 92. El Shaarawy S. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 17. Kone M. 23. Mancini G. 73. Marcaccini A. (G) 61. Pisilli N. 2. Rensch D. 24. Ziolkowski J.	21. Andre B. 16. Bodart A. (G) 14. Broholm M. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 38. Goffi A. 29. Igamane H. 50. Merzouk S. (G) 17. Mukau N. 3. Ngoy N. 15. Perraud R. 28. Raghouber U. 22. Santos T.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Correia F. (A),
9', Verdonk C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsimikas K. ↓, Rensch D. ↑,
57', Hermoso M. ↓, Mancini G. ↑,
57', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
62', Bouaddi A. 🟨,
64', Bentaleb N. ↓, Andre B. ↑,
65', Giroud O. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
66', Haraldsson H. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
70', Verdonk C. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
71', Cristante B. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
78', Ferguson E. ↓, Dovbyk A. ↑,
82', Dovbyk A. (Pen),
82', Mandi A. 🟨,
85', Soule M. (Pen),
90', Sahraoui O. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
90+5', Ozer B. 🟨,

Preview

Roma is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lille has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roma is the team to beat.

There will not play in Roma: Bailey L. (Thigh Injury) Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dybala P. (Muscle Injury) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Meunier T. (Groin Injury) Perraud R. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury) Santos T. (Injury)

We predict that Roma will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
28.09.25	Roma - Verona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.09.25	Nice - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Lazio - Roma	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Roma - Torino	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Pisa - Roma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Lille - Brann	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Lille - Toulouse	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Lorient - Lille	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.19	Lille - Roma	2:3

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