Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 43

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Burnley

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.67
	5.25	3.7	1.66
	6.2	3.75	1.63
	5.79	3.67	1.71
	5.5	3.6	1.63
	5.4	3.78	1.66	Watch
	5.6	3.75	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (4.9)	3.72 ↓ (3.87)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
17.1%

Draw
25.6%

Burnley
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

23.2%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	17.1%	68.6%

Rotherham United - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Burnley will win (votes: 24 - 68.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 53.2% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Burnley is Qualified for Premier League

Rotherham has the most likely position - 18 (39.39%), project points - 50, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (2%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (99.97%), project points - 101, currently - 91, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 43, very small importance 4, small match rating 23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

There will not play in Rotherham: Hall G. (Muscle Injury) Johansson V. (Injury) Morrison S. (Thigh Injury) Washington C. (Injury) Wiles B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Rodriguez J. (Knock)

There are questionable in Rotherham: Eaves T. (Injury) Kioso P. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League Championship
15.04.23	Rotherham United - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
10.04.23	Norwich City - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
07.04.23	Rotherham United - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
01.04.23	Hull City - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
14.03.23	Rotherham United - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTWTL
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
15.04.23	Reading - Burnley	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Burnley - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Middlesbrough - Burnley	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Burnley - Sunderland	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
18.03.23	Manchester City - Burnley	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.11.22	Burnley - Rotherham United	3:2
20.02.16	Burnley - Rotherham United	2:0
02.10.15	Rotherham United - Burnley	1:2

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