Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Reading		Burnley

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.53
	5.75	4.2	1.55
	6	4.33	1.55
	5.23	4.23	1.57
	5.72	4.29	1.52	Watch
	5.8	4	1.53
	6.22	4.43	1.57	Watch
	6	4.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.66)	4.25 ↑ (4.14)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
16.3%

Draw
22.3%

Burnley
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

22.8%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	5%	70%

Reading - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Burnley will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burnley: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Button D. (G) 2. Abrefa K. 6. Dean H. 24. Bindon T. 32. Kanu A. 8. Savage C. 29. Wing L. (C) 14. Rushesha T. 7. Knibbs H. 10. Smith S. 19. Wareham J.	32. Hladky V. (G) 2. Sonne O. 4. Worrall J. 16. Egan J. 23. Lucas Pires 41. Bauress J. 49. McDermott T. 30. Koleosho L. 35. Barnes A. 17. Foster L. 9. Rodriguez J. (C)
Substitutes
39. Ahmed A. 46. Borgnis J. 34. Holzman L. 49. Osho E. 22. Pereira J. (G) 44. Sackey T. 35. Senga-Ngoyi J. 38. Stickland M. 40. Wellens C.	44. Delcroix H. 18. Ekdal H. 19. Flemming Z. 20. Green E. (G) 12. Humphreys B. 29. Laurent J. 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M. 38. Tweedy T. 55. Veevers C.
Coaches
Hunt N.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Foster L. ⚽, Bauress J. (A),
72', Egan J. ↓, Ekdal H. ↑,
76', Abrefa K. ↓, Osho E. ↑,
76', Dean H. ↓, Holzman L. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
87', Koleosho L. ↓, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. ↑,
87', Sonne O. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
91', Wareham J. ↓, Sackey T. ↑,
94', Barnes A. ↓, Flemming Z. ↑,
100', 1 - 2, Flemming Z. ⚽, Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (A),
105', McDermott T. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
107', Rushesha T. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
109', 1 - 3, Flemming Z. ⚽,
113', Wing L. ↓, Senga-Ngoyi J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Burnley is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Reading won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
04.01.25	Charlton Athletic - Reading	0:0 ✺
01.01.25	Cambridge United - Reading	1:3 ✺
29.12.24	Reading - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Reading - Northampton Town	4:1 ✺
21.12.24	Lincoln City - Reading	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWWL
- Burnley FC
English League Championship
04.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Burnley	0:1 ✺
01.01.25	Burnley - Stoke City	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Middlesbrough - Burnley	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Sheffield United - Burnley	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Burnley - Watford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
15.04.23	Reading - Burnley	0:0
29.10.22	Burnley - Reading	2:1
13.02.16	Reading - Burnley	0:0
26.09.15	Burnley - Reading	1:2
03.05.14	Reading - Burnley	2:2
05.10.13	Burnley - Reading	2:1
17.02.12	Reading - Burnley	1:0

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