The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 18.6%
Draw 23.1%
Luton Town 58.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.1%
27%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
27.5%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luton Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
17.4%
82.6%
Rotherham United - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(19 of 23 users predict this - 82.61%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.12% โ 98.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luton Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Cann T. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 36. Adegboyega E. 3. Jules Z. 15. Baptiste J. 44. Gore D. 51. Lee C. 11. Martha A. 37. Clarke J. 24. Gray H. 10. Nombe S.
24. Keeley J. (G) 17. Lonwijk N. 16. Odoffin H. 3. Naismith K. (C) 38. Johnson J. 6. van den Berg D. 8. Walsh L. 14. Morris S. 54. Palmer K. 32. Lawrence E. 21. Wells N.
Substitutes
29. Biancheri G. 50. Childs B. (G) 39. Duncan H. 22. Hall D. 23. Holmes J. 9. Hugill J. 16. Yearwood D.
12. Al Hamadi A. 22. Cole D. 30. Kodua G. 27. Richards J. 4. Sandal S. 23. Saville G. 1. Shea J. (G)
Coaches
Clark L.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Morris S. (A),
43', Clarke J. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Palmer K. ⚽, Morris S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lee C. ↓, Yearwood D. ↑,
61', Morris S. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
61', van den Berg D. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
62', Clarke J. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
62', Martha A. ↓, Hall D. ↑,
73', Wells N. ↓, Al Hamadi A. ↑,
74', Walsh L. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
86', Lawrence E. ↓, Sandal S. ↑,
88', Odoffin H. 🟨,
90+1', Keeley J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Luton is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Luton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Luton is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Rotherham: Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Powell J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Hip Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Inactive)
Mengi T.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Rotherham: Dawson C.
(Inactive)
Douglas H.
(Inactive)
Kaleta M.
(Injury)
Kelly L.
(Inactive)
McWilliams S.
(Inactive)
Spence K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Jones I.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Luton
12
6
2
4
24:20
4
20
Outrights of English League One for now
Luton: 8.94%
Last Results with these Odds
Rotherham United - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 29.07%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Luton Town - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Cann T. (G) 
Rafferty J. (C) 
Jules Z. 
Martha A. 
Lonwijk N. 
Palmer K. 
Wells N. 
Biancheri G. 
Al Hamadi A. 
Sandal S. 
Saville G. 
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