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Middlesbrough - Burnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 24
  • Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday
  • Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Middlesbrough Burnley
    Middlesbrough Burnley
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.63 3.1 2.75 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
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    Bet_in_Asia 2.34 3.32 3.11
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    Bovada 2.66 3.25 2.71
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.62 ↑
    (2.11)    		 3.25 ↓
    (3.47)    		 2.74 ↓
    (3.35)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Middlesbrough
    36.2%    		Draw
    29.2%    		Burnley
    34.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    44.7% 27.2% 28.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    46.5% 28.3% 27.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Middlesbrough's form might have worsened.
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Middlesbrough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    42.1% 21.1% 36.8%

    Middlesbrough - Burnley Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). Burnley will win (votes: 14 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 26.4% – 57.8%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    23. AustraliaGlover T. (G)
    15. SurinameDijksteel A.
      6. EnglandFry D.
    25. EnglandEdmundson G.
    30. BrazilNeto Borges
      4. EnglandBarlaser D.
      7. EnglandHackney H. (C)
    50. ScotlandDoak B.
    20. IrelandAzaz F.
    10. NetherlandsBurgzorg D.
      9. IvoryLatte Lath E.
    		  1. EnglandTrafford J. (G)
    14. WalesRoberts C.
      6. EnglandEgan-Riley C.
      5. FranceEsteve M.
    12. EnglandHumphreys B.
    24. IrelandCullen J.
    29. EnglandLaurent J.
    11. EnglandAnthony J.
      8. EnglandBrownhill J.
    28. TunisiaMejbri H.
    19. NetherlandsFlemming Z.
    Substitutes
      . EnglandClarke M.
      1. EnglandConnor S. (G)
    27. DenmarkEngel L.
    14. IrelandGilbert A.
    17. EnglandHamilton M.
      . EnglandHunt H.
    11. GuyanaJones I.
    49. EnglandMcCabe L.
      8. AustraliaMcGree R.
    		16. IrelandEgan J.
    17. SouthFoster L.
    32. CzechHladky V. (G)
    37. BeninHountondji A.
    30. ItalyKoleosho L.
    23. BrazilLucas Pires
      9. EnglandRodriguez J.
      7. EcuadorSarmiento J.
      4. EnglandWorrall J.
    Coaches
         EnglandCarrick M.
    		     EnglandParker S.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 3', Edmundson G. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 54', Cullen J. 🟨,
    • 67', Mejbri H. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
    • 73', Doak B. ↓, Jones I. ↑,
    • 73', Burgzorg D. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
    • 80', Flemming Z. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
    • 80', Anthony J. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
    • 81', Neto Borges ↓, Engel L. ↑,
    • 83', Roberts C. 🟨,
    • 86', Koleosho L. 🟨,
    • 90', Brownhill J. ↓, Foster L. ↑,

    Preview

  • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 0.
  • Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Burnley is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
  • Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
  • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Injury) Forss M. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) Morris A. (Muscle Injury) Smith T. (Injury) van den Berg R. (Red Card)
  • There will not play in Burnley: Beyer J. (Thigh Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Leg Injury)
  • There are questionable in Burnley: Sarmiento J. (Injury)
  • Last 12 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.9:1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.2:1).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Middlesbrough FC
    English League Championship
    26.12.24 Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday 3:3 ✺
    21.12.24 Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough 3:3 ✺
    14.12.24 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0 ✺
    10.12.24 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺
    06.12.24 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1
    TTWLT
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    26.12.24 Sheffield United - Burnley 0:2 ✺
    21.12.24 Burnley - Watford 2:1 ✺
    15.12.24 Norwich City - Burnley 1:2 ✺
    10.12.24 Burnley - Derby County 0:0 ✺
    06.12.24 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7
    WWWTT
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Championship
    06.12.24 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1
    07.04.23 Middlesbrough - Burnley 1:2
    17.12.22 Burnley - Middlesbrough 3:1
    English Premier League
    08.04.17 Middlesbrough - Burnley 0:0
    26.12.16 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:0
    English League Championship
    19.04.16 Burnley - Middlesbrough 1:1
    English FA Cup
    09.01.16 Middlesbrough - Burnley 1:2
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Middlesbrough FC
    English League Championship
    13.10.26 Stoke City - Middlesbrough ✺
    10.10.26 Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers ✺
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    13.10.26 Burnley - Charlton Athletic ✺
    10.10.26 Watford - Burnley ✺

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