Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Canal+ Evenement, DStv Now, Supersport Action
Albania	16:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Austria	16:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Azerbaijan	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	16:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 8
Georgia	18:00	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:00	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 5
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	17:00	Sport 4
Italy	16:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport Max
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	20:00	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Maldives	19:00	Medianet
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max
Moldova	17:00	Setanta Sports 1
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 1
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 6
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport Action
North Central America	—	Canal+ Evenement Caribbean, Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Action
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	16:00	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	22:00	ELTA Sports 3
Tajikistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	19:00	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Manchester City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.5	15
	1.2	7.4	13.5
	1.2	7.75	16.5
	1.20	6.58	12.41	Watch
	1.23	7.39	14.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.19)	7.32 ↓ (7.76)	14.42 ↑ (13.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Manchester City
80.2%

Draw
13.1%

Burnley
6.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

80.6%

12.4%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	7.3%	2.4%

Manchester City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 36 - 90%). Burnley will win (votes: 1 - 2.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 80.7% – 99.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Man City (1.96) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Man City (votes: 18 - 90%). Burnley (votes: 1 - 5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Donnarumma G. (G) 27. Nunes M. 3. Dias R. (C) 24. Gvardiol J. 33. O'Reilly N. 14. Nico 26. Savinho 4. Reijnders T. 47. Foden P. 11. Doku J. 9. Haaland E.	1. Dubravka M. (G) 2. Walker K. 29. Laurent J. 18. Ekdal H. 5. Esteve M. 3. Hartman Q. 17. Tchaouna L. 24. Cullen J. (C) 16. Florentino 11. Anthony J. 9. Foster L.
Substitutes
6. Ake N. 52. Bobb O. 8. Kovacic M. 82. Lewis R. 56. McAidoo R. 63. Mukasa D. 20. Silva B. 5. Stones J. 1. Trafford J. (G)	27. Broja A. 7. Bruun Larsen J. 10. Edwards M. 19. Flemming Z. 12. Humphreys B. 28. Mejbri H. 8. Ugochukwu L. 13. Weiss M. (G) 4. Worrall J.
Coaches
Guardiola P.	Parker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Esteve M. (Own goal),
27', Hartman Q. 🟨,
30', Walker K. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Anthony J. ⚽, Hartman Q. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
61', 2 - 1, Nunes M. ⚽, Haaland E. (A),
62', Tchaouna L. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
62', Savinho ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
63', Anthony J. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Esteve M. (Own goal),
70', Gvardiol J. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
79', Cullen J. ↓, Broja A. ↑,
80', Foster L. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
83', Foden P. 🟨,
83', Reijnders T. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
83', O'Reilly N. ↓, Lewis R. ↑,
88', Hartman Q. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
88', Anthony J. ↓, Humphreys B. ↑,
90', 4 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
90+3', 5 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 5.

Man City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Burnley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Man City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Burnley has had a series of home games.

In this match, Man City is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Man City: Ait Nouri R. (Ankle Injury) Cherki R. (Thigh Injury) Kovacic M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marmoush O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Man City: Khusanov A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Bruun Larsen J. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man City won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 60:9. (average 3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 42:5. (average 3.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City
English League Cup
24.09.25	Huddersfield Town - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
21.09.25	Arsenal - Manchester City	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Manchester City - Napoli	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0 ✺
31.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWL
- Burnley FC
English League Cup
23.09.25	Burnley - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Burnley - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Manchester United - Burnley	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Burnley - Derby County	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.01.24	Manchester City - Burnley	3:1
11.08.23	Burnley - Manchester City	0:3
English FA Cup
18.03.23	Manchester City - Burnley	6:0
English Premier League
02.04.22	Burnley - Manchester City	0:2
16.10.21	Manchester City - Burnley	2:0
03.02.21	Burnley - Manchester City	0:2
28.11.20	Manchester City - Burnley	5:0

Upcoming Matches