The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portsmouth 28.4%
Draw 28.7%
Rotherham United 42.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.3%
29.3%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
28.9%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.9%
25.6%
53.5%
Portsmouth - Rotherham United Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). Rotherham will win (votes: 23 - 53.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 38.6% – 68.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Portsmouth has the most likely position - 11 (44%), has project points - 69, has currently - 60, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Rotherham has the most likely position - 2 (44.78%), has project points - 90, has currently - 80, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a good chance of promoted (65%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
This event has small quality26, importance50, match rating38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Portsmouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Rotherham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Portsmouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Portsmouth have a series of guest games.
Recently Rotherham have a series of home games.
Rotherham will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.