The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plymouth Argyle 40.4%
Draw 28.9%
Oxford United 30.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.3%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
25.7%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.1%
16.7%
22.2%
Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 38.6% โ 83.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
8. Cameron Brannagan
3. Ciaron Brown
44. Dane Scarlett
5. Elliott Jordan Moore
22. Greg Leigh
1. Jamie Cumming
10. Matt Phillips
7. Przemyslaw Placheta
2. Sam Long
19. Tyler Goodrham
4. Will Vaulks
Substitutes
27. Adam John Forshaw
24. Hidde ter Avest
20. Adam Randell
15. Idris El Mizouni
19. Andre Anthony Gray
34. Jordan Thorniley
2. Bali Mumba
6. Joshua Mark McEachran
34. Caleb Roberts
9. Mark Harris
11. Callum Wright
21. Matt Ingram
31. Daniel Grimshaw
17. Owen Dale
18. Darko Boateng Gyabi
20. Ruben Rodrigues
35. Freddie Issaka
25. Will Goodwin
44. Gudlaugur Victor Palsson
4. Jordan Houghton
5. Julio Pleguezuelo
17. Lewis Gibson
25. Marko Marosi
29. Matthew Sorinola
14. Michael Obafemi
15. Mustapha Bundu
3. Nathanael Ogbeta
28. Rami Hajal
9. Ryan Hardie
Coaches
. Rooney W.
. Buckingham D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Long S. ↓, Thorniley J. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Vaulks W. ⚽, Harris M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Brown C. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Al Hajj R. ⚽, Puchacz T. (A),
68', Harris M. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,
68', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
75', Al Hajj R. ↓, Obafemi M. ↑,
77', Rodrigues R. ↓, Matos A. ↑,
77', Phillips M. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
78', Gyabi D. 🟨,
85', Palsson V. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
89', Puchacz T. ↓, Ogbeta N. ↑,
89', Gyabi D. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 4.
Recent matches Plymouth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Oxford is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Plymouth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Plymouth: Cissoko I.
(Groin Injury)
Edwards J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Galloway B.
(Ankle Injury)
Gibson L.
(Thigh Injury)
Hardie R.
(Groin Injury)
Hazard C.
(Injury)
Tijani M.
(Leg Injury)
Whittaker M.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Dembele S.
(Ankle Injury)
Edwards K.
(Muscle Injury)
Sibley L.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 24:30 (average 1.2:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.1:1.6).
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Cameron Brannagan 
Rooney W. 
