Match Info

Premier League - Round 30

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bulanov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Football Asia
Russia	18:00	Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Rubin Kazan		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	3.28
	2.29	3.5	3.25	Watch
	1.97	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)	3.48 ↑ (3.45)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
43.8%

Draw
27.4%

Nizhny Novgorod
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Nizhny Novgorod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Nizhny Novgorod (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nizhny Novgorod (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 98. Lobov N. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 70. Kabutov D. 7. Saavedra I. 22. Hodza V. 51. Rozhkov I. 43. Siwe J. 10. Daku M. 23. Bezrukov R.	30. Medvedev N. (C) 3. Koledin Y. 22. Kakkoev N. 24. Farina E. 25. Karic S. 29. Ticic L. 6. Sarfo A. 78. Kalinski N. 10. Balboa A. 40. Olusegun O. 21. Cephas R.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 27. Gritsaenko A. 19. Ivanov O. 8. Jocic B. 77. Jukic A. 44. Kuznetsov D. 14. Kuzyaev D. 59. Motorin D. N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 21. Zotov A.	2. Aleksandrov V. 81. Generalov N. (G) 27. Grulev V. 77. Ivlev A. 4. Kirsch I. 51. Koshkin E. (G) 16. Krashevskiy Y. 8. Maiga M. 69. Sidorenko A. 17. Smelov E. 14. Urvantsev M.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Hodza V. (A),
37', Cephas R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 0, Kakkoev N. (Own goal),
56', Cephas R. ↓, Grulev V. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Grulev V. ⚽, Kakkoev N. (A),
65', 2 - 2, Grulev V. ⚽, Olusegun O. (A),
68', Kabutov D. ↓, Jukic A. ↑,
81', Daku M. ↓, Shabanhaxhaj D. ↑,
81', Saavedra I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
81', Hodza V. ↓, Zotov A. ↑,
89', Bezrukov R. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
90+4', Siwe J. 🟨,
90+5', Teslenko E. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.

In recent matches, Rubin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pari NN is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U. (Muscle Injury) Shvets A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury) Farina E. (Injury) Lesovoy D. (Yellow Cards) Lukyanov V. (Red Card)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Rubin Kazan	12	2	6	4	12:18	-6	12

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Rubin Kazan: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
11.05.26	Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWTWT
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
11.05.26	Nizhny Novgorod - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
08.11.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	0:0
16.03.25	Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0
22.07.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	2:4
09.03.24	Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1
02.09.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	2:1
05.12.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Rubin Kazan	2:1
02.10.21	Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod	0:1

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