Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 15

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Como

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.25	2.95	2.35
	3.2	3	2.35	Watch
	3.52	2.99	2.48
	3.52	2.94	2.48
	3.1	2.9	2.38
	3.25	3.13	2.3	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.65)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)	2.39 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
28.7%

Draw
31.7%

Como
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

30.6%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Como will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Como: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 14. Cuomo G. 55. Masiello A. 24. Davi S. 8. Lunetta G. 21. Tait F. 42. Peeters D. 17. Casiraghi D. 23. Rauti N. 9. Pecorino E.	1. Semper A. (G) 5. Curto M. 26. Odenthal C. 93. Barba F. 84. Cassandro T. 94. Kone B. L. 28. Abildgaard O. 33. Da Cunha L. 44. Ioannou N. (C) 90. Verdi S. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
15. Broh J. T. 3. Cagnano A. 11. Ciervo R. 26. Cisco A. 12. Drago G. (G) 22. Dregan S. A. (G) 6. Ghiringhelli L. 77. Lonardi L. 33. Merkaj S. 27. Shiba C.	14. Bellemo A. 11. Blanco A. 27. Cerri A. 7. Chajia M. 9. Gabrielloni A. 20. Kerrigan L. 32. Rispoli F. 3. Sala M. 4. Solini M. 80. Vignali L. 22. Vigorito M. (G)
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Fabregas C.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 3.

Südtirol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Como is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
28.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Pisa	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Parma - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLLW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
28.11.23	Como - Lecco	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Como - FeralpiSalò	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Ascoli - Como	0:1 ✺
04.11.23	Pisa - Como	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	Como - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.02.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:1
10.09.22	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:2
Italian Serie C Group A
11.01.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	2:0
31.08.14	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
11.05.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	1:0 penalties
26.01.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Como	4:3
22.09.13	Como - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2

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