Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 15

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.9	2.2	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.2
	3.5	2.95	2.25	Watch
	3.82	3	2.33
	3.72	2.94	2.26	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.2
	3.6	3.14	2.19	Watch
	3.5	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)	2.99 ↓ (3.12)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
26.4%

Draw
31.5%

Cremonese
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.3%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30.2%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Drago G. (G) 2. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 23. Ceppitelli L. 5. Masiello A. 24. Davi S. 6. Martini J. 4. Arrigoni T. 79. Molina S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 90. Odogwu R.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 98. Zanimacchia L. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 10. Buonaiuto C. 17. Sernicola L. 90. Bonazzoli F. 20. Vazquez F.
Substitutes
29. Arlach J. (G) 66. Coco L. 9. Crespi V. 14. Davi F. 30. Giorgini A. 8. Mallamo A. 33. Merkaj S. 19. Pietrangeli N. 7. Rover M. 68. Vimercati A. 11. Zedadka K.	4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D. 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 6. Pickel C. 3. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 27. Vandeputte J.
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bianchetti M. ↓, Lochoshvili L. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Vazquez F. ⚽, Sernicola L. (A),
54', Masiello A. 🟨,
54', Martini J. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
54', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Rover M. ↑,
61', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
66', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
66', Casiraghi D. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
67', Merkaj S. 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Collocolo M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
73', Bonazzoli F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
73', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
77', 0 - 4, De Luca M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
80', Sernicola L. ↓, Majer Z. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 3.

Südtirol has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cremonese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cremonese will have a poor advantage in this game.

There are questionable in Südtirol: Cagnano A. (Injury) Tait F. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Johnsen D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:13 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:4 (average 2.2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Cremonese - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
24.11.24	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Cesena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
24.11.24	Cremonese - Frosinone	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Mantova - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Cremonese - Pisa	1:3 ✺
29.10.24	Modena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:0
21.10.23	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1
Italian Serie C Group A
09.04.16	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1
29.11.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	1:1
07.02.15	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:1
20.09.14	Cremonese - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
25.05.14	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	2:1

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