Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Stadio Marco Druso (Bolzano)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno


	Südtirol-Alto Adige		Reggina

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.8	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.85	3
	2.5	2.8	3.25
	2.69	2.88	3.23
	2.5	2.8	3.2
	2.61	2.82	3.13	Watch
	2.65	2.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.19)	2.81 ↓ (3.17)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Südtirol-Alto Adige
36.5%

Draw
33.5%

Reggina
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	35%	10%

Südtirol Alto Adige - Reggina Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Reggina will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Südtirol: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Poluzzi G. (G) 4. Curto M. 19. Zaro G. 55. Masiello A. 26. De Col F. 18. Rover M. 6. Fiordilino L. 21. Tait F. (C) 16. Belardinelli L. 14. Cisse M. 90. Odogwu R.	1. Contini N. (G) 3. Cionek T. 6. Loiacono G. 28. Gagliolo R. 27. Pierozzi N. 14. Fabbian G. 37. Majer Z. 20. Hernani 17. Di Chiara G. 19. Strelec D. 31. Canotto L.
Substitutes
10. Carretta M. 17. Casiraghi D. 20. Eklu S. M. 45. Giorgini A. 32. Larrivey J. 8. Lunetta G. 29. Marano M. (G) 9. Mazzocchi S. 25. Minelli S. (G) 23. Pompetti M. 7. Siega N. 5. Vinetot K.	12. Aglietti T. (G) 13. Bouah D. 22. Colombi S. (G) 8. Crisetig L. 16. Galabinov A. 9. Gori G. 94. Liotti D. 25. Lombardi A. 21. Ricci F. 24. Terranova E.
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Inzaghi F.

Preview

Südtirol has the most likely position - 6 (100%), project points - 58, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a small chance of promoted (6%), not chance of win league.

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (100%), project points - 55, currently - 55, not chance of relegated, already of prom. playoffs, a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, very big importance 100, match rating 65. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Südtirol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
19.05.23	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Ternana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
01.05.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Genoa	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Frosinone - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWTT
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
19.05.23	Reggina - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Bari - Reggina	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Reggina - Como	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Frosinone - Reggina	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Reggina - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Reggina	2:1
28.08.22	Reggina - Südtirol-Alto Adige	4:0

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