Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 36

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Reggina		Como

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.63	3.1	2.75
	2.75	3.17	2.87
	2.71	2.99	2.82	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.21)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	2.77 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
35.6%

Draw
30.3%

Como
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.5%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reggina's form might have worsened.

Como has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Como's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Como than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Como, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Reggina - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Como will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Reggio Calabria has the most likely position - 7 (49.78%), project points - 53, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (80%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), not chance of win league.

Como has the most likely position - 13 (19.48%), project points - 47, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, very small importance 7, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Reggio Calabria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Reggio Calabria won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Reggio Calabria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Frosinone - Reggina	3:1 ✺
21.04.23	Reggina - Brescia	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Benevento - Reggina	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Reggina - Venezia	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Perugia - Reggina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie B
01.05.23	Como - Palermo	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Como - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Bari - Como	2:2 ✺
10.04.23	Como - Genoa	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Venezia - Como	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.12.22	Como - Reggina	0:1
30.04.22	Reggina - Como	1:4
18.12.21	Como - Reggina	1:1

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