Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio João Paulo II (Angra do Heroísmo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	SC Lusitânia		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.74	3.16	2.13
	3.65	3.12	2.12	Watch
	4.33	3.6	1.67
	3.49	3.18	2.01
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 (3.64)	3.22 ↓ (3.32)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SC Lusitânia
25.3%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético CP
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

28.2%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

28%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Atlético CP have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

SC Lusitânia - Atlético CP Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SC Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Atlético CP will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monteiro J. (G) 70. Mosquera D. 24. Edu 51. Derick 50. Jefinho 15. Breno T. 27. Legatheaux A. 42. Biai B. (C) 52. Azevedo T. 9. Souza N. 17. Isabelinha	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 31. Paulinho 13. Talison 4. Henriques D. 28. Cruz H. 19. Sousa C. 45. Junior T. 29. Dinamite D. 10. Caleb 9. Balotelli 11. Franco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Jefinho 🟨,
17', Azevedo T. 🟨,
24', Sousa C. 🟨,
38', Talison ↓, Almeida B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 🟨,
58', Jefinho ↓, Rafa Tche ↑,
62', Junior T. ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
72', Caleb ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
74', Balotelli ↓, Pinheiro E. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Henriques D. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

SC Lusitânia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atlético CP is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético CP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently SC Lusitânia have a series of home games.

Atlético CP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.24	SC Lusitânia - Belenenses	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	1 Dezembro - SC Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	SC Lusitânia - São João de Ver	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
16.11.24	SC Lusitânia - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	SC Lusitânia - Caldas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTL
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Belenenses - Atlético CP	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Atlético CP - União de Santarém	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Oliveira Hospital - Atlético CP	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
13.10.24	Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia	2:1

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