Match Info

Date: 2 August 2020, Sunday


	SPAL		Fiorentina

	1	X	2
	7	5	1.4	Watch
	5.75	4.6	1.5
	6.4	4.8	1.45	Watch
	6.6	4.8	1.43
	6.74	4.93	1.46
	7.5	4.8	1.42	Watch
	7.6	5.1	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (6.36)	4.86 ↓ (4.87)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
14.1%

Draw
19.7%

Fiorentina
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

19.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

17.1%

74.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fiorentina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

SPAL - Fiorentina Predictions

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 6 - 7.7%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 60 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 67.5% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie A
29.07.20	Verona - SPAL	3:0 ✺
26.07.20	SPAL - Torino	1:1 ✺
22.07.20	SPAL - Roma	1:6 ✺
19.07.20	Brescia - SPAL	2:1 ✺
16.07.20	SPAL - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLL
- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
29.07.20	Fiorentina - Bologna	4:0 ✺
26.07.20	Roma - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
22.07.20	Inter Milan - Fiorentina	0:0 ✺
19.07.20	Fiorentina - Torino	2:0 ✺
15.07.20	Lecce - Fiorentina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.01.20	Fiorentina - SPAL	1:0
17.02.19	SPAL - Fiorentina	1:4
22.09.18	Fiorentina - SPAL	3:0
15.04.18	Fiorentina - SPAL	0:0
19.11.17	SPAL - Fiorentina	1:1

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