Match Info

Date: 22 July 2020, Wednesday


	SPAL		Roma

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.28	Watch
	9.75	5.5	1.3
	9	5.8	1.3	Watch
	9.4	5.8	1.28
	9.8	6.08	1.29
	10	6	1.27	Watch
	11	6.5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.71 ↑ (8.76)	5.95 ↑ (5.5)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
9.9%

Draw
16.1%

Roma
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

17.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.9%

15.8%

79%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for SPAL aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	3.9%	87.5%

SPAL - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Roma will win (112 of 128 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.77% – 93.23%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie A
19.07.20	Brescia - SPAL	2:1 ✺
16.07.20	SPAL - Inter Milan	0:4 ✺
12.07.20	Genoa - SPAL	2:0 ✺
09.07.20	SPAL - Udinese	0:3 ✺
05.07.20	Sampdoria - SPAL	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
19.07.20	Roma - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
15.07.20	Roma - Verona	2:1 ✺
11.07.20	Brescia - Roma	0:3 ✺
08.07.20	Roma - Parma	2:1 ✺
05.07.20	Napoli - Roma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
15.12.19	Roma - SPAL	3:1
16.03.19	SPAL - Roma	2:1
20.10.18	Roma - SPAL	0:2
21.04.18	SPAL - Roma	0:3
01.12.17	Roma - SPAL	3:1

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