Match Info

USA: USL Championship

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Heart Health Park (Sacramento, CA)

Referee: Corbyn M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Sacramento Republic		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.04	3.25	3.91
	2.03	3.27	3.76	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.94	3.46	3.66	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 (1.98)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)	3.6 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sacramento Republic
46.6%

Draw
27.8%

North Carolina
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.3%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

26.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sacramento Republic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Republic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sacramento Republic - North Carolina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitiello D. (G) 17. Ricketts J. 5. Timmer J. 24. Donovan C. 4. Desmond L. (C) 40. Sanchez A. 43. Portillo J. J. 19. Ross N. 96. Fernandes L. 15. Jauregui R. 7. Amann T.	1. McGuire J. (G) 2. Craig P. (C) 27. Washington B. 7. Batista L. 14. Mentzingen R. 15. Maldonado M. 17. Martin C. 28. Brewer S. 11. Conway E. 9. Anderson O. 8. Perez L.
Substitutes
2. Gurr J. 9. Herrera J. 14. Kimbrough D. 99. Mazzola J. (G) 10. Parano C. 23. Phillips K. 55. Ukaegbu C. 6. Wiedt S. 20. Willey B.	42. Armstrong E. 16. Da Costa R. 25. Fitzgerald A. (G) 4. Malou J. 5. Navarro D. 10. Servania J. 44. Sommersall R.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Jauregui R. ↓, Parano C. ↑,
60', Sanchez A. ↓, Gurr J. ↑,
60', Amann T. ↓, Phillips K. ↑,
62', Portillo J. J. 🟨,
66', Mentzingen R. 🟨,
75', Maldonado M. 🟨,
86', Craig P. 🟨,
90+1', Fernandes L. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).

Sacramento Republic is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches North Carolina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Carolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sacramento Republic have a series of home games.

Sacramento Republic will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sacramento Republic FC
US Open Cup
09.07.24	Sacramento Republic - Seattle Sounders	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
03.07.24	Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Hartford Athletic	1:0 ✺
22.06.24	Tulsa - Sacramento Republic	0:0 ✺
15.06.24	Sacramento Republic - Oakland Roots	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWTL
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
06.07.24	North Carolina - Miami	4:1 ✺
28.06.24	Charleston Battery - North Carolina	5:2 ✺
22.06.24	North Carolina - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	North Carolina - Monterey Bay	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Louisville City - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTWL

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