Match Info

Date: 13 November 2021, Saturday


	Sagamihara		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.37	Watch
	3.25	2.75	2.2
	3.5	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.35	2.75	2.35
	3.55	2.86	2.49
	3.4	2.75	2.3
	3.32	3.02	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	2.34 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
27.4%

Draw
32.8%

Fagiano Okayama
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.1%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.1%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fagiano Okayama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sagamihara - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 11).

Recent matches Sagamihara is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Okayama is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Okayama could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sagamihara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
07.11.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
03.11.21	Sagamihara - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
24.10.21	Sagamihara - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
16.10.21	Sagamihara - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWTL
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
07.11.21	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
03.11.21	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Mito HollyHock - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
14.03.21	Fagiano Okayama - Sagamihara	0:0

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