Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Fagiano Okayama		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	1.88	2.95	4
	1.95	3.05	4.25	Watch
	1.97	2.9	4.2
	2.03	3.07	4.61
	1.95	2.88	4.33
	2.03	3.13	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.96)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	4.23 ↑ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
47.2%

Draw
30.8%

Matsumoto Yamaga
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fagiano Okayama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Okayama could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Okayama is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Okayama won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
09.10.21	Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
02.10.21	Ryūkyū - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
18.09.21	Júbilo Iwata - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Fagiano Okayama - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTTL
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
10.10.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
03.10.21	JEF United Chiba - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.05.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:3
21.11.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:0
02.09.20	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0
16.07.18	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0
17.03.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:1
20.08.17	Fagiano Okayama - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0
25.06.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - Fagiano Okayama	1:1

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