Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Geoffroy-Guichard (Saint-Étienne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	17:05	ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Belgium	21:05	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	17:05	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5
China	04:05	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:05	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Finland	22:05	Viaplay
France	21:05	DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe
Georgia	00:05	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:05	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	01:35	GXR World
Israel	22:05	5 LIVE Israel
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:05	ART Sport 2
Mexico	14:05	Caliente TV App
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Macedonia	21:05	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:05	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Philippines	04:05	Cignal Play
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV4
Russia	23:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	21:05	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Spain	21:05	beIN Sports
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United Kingdom	20:05	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	16:05	Inter
International	20:05	Disney+


	Saint-Étienne		Rennes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.2
	3.05	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3.2	3.53	2.31
	3.21	3.52	2.27	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.15
	3.24	3.69	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.26)	3.52 ↑ (3.46)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Étienne
30.2%

Draw
27.2%

Rennes
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

27.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.8%	8.8%	29.4%

Saint Étienne - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%). Rennes will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Larsonneur G. (C) 8. Appiah D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 17. Cornud P. 6. Bouchouari B. 4. Ekwah P. 14. Mouton L. 20. Boakye A. 32. Stassin L. 22. Davitashvili Z.	1. Samba B. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 4. Wooh C. 5. Brassier L. 22. Assignon L. 17. James J. 38. Cisse D. 3. Truffert A. (C) 11. Tamari M. 10. Blas L. 9. Kalimuendo A.
Substitutes
5. Abdelhamid Y. 23. Briancon A. 7. Cardona I. 26. Fomba L. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 28. Miladinovic I. 63. N'Guessan D. 9. Sissoko I. 10. Tardieu F.	15. Faye M. 8. Fofana S. 7. Furuhashi K. 20. Gomez C. A. 21. Kone I. 30. Mandanda S. (G) 62. Meite M. 18. Nagida M. 19. Olaigbe K.
Coaches
Horneland E.	Beye H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Wooh C. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Kalimuendo A. ⚽, Assignon L. (A),
17', James J. 🟨,
23', Blas L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mouton L. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
46', Boakye A. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
59', James J. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
65', Fofana S. 🟨,
68', Ekwah P. 🟨,
69', Kalimuendo A. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
77', Stassin L. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
77', Samba B. 🟨,
84', Cisse D. ↓, Olaigbe K. ↑,
84', Assignon L. ↓, Nagida M. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Nagida M. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
86', Davitashvili Z. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
90+6', Appiah D. ↓, Briancon A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 1.

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rennes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rennes will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Batubinsika D. (Red Card) Bernauer M. (Knee Injury) Old B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rennes: Alemdar D. (Knee Injury) Hateboer H. (Yellow Cards) Seidu A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Briancon A. (Injury) Wadji I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Fofana S. (Injury) Matusiwa A. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Saint-Étienne won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:32 (average 0.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Saint-Étienne won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
01.02.25	Lille - Saint-Étienne	4:1 ✺
24.01.25	Auxerre - Saint-Étienne	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Nantes	1:1 ✺
12.01.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Saint-Étienne	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Saint-Étienne - Reims	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTTLW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Monaco - Rennes	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Rennes - Brest	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Troyes - Rennes	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.01.25	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
30.11.24	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	5:0
30.04.22	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	2:0
05.12.21	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:5
14.02.21	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2
26.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:3
Club Friendly
12.08.20	Rennes - Saint-Étienne	3:0
Coupe De France
05.03.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	2:1

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