Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:45	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Sweden	18:45	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:45	TNT Sports


	Saint-Gilloise		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.75	4.2
	1.92	3.75	4	Watch
	1.88	3.7	4
	1.92	3.82	4.08
	1.75	3.4	3.75
	1.87	3.72	4.05
	1.84	3.8	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.11)	3.71 ↑ (3.46)	4.05 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: TUDNxtra 4

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
51%

Draw
25.6%

Toulouse
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saint-Gilloise's performance.

Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saint-Gilloise that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.2%	4.7%	1.2%

Saint Gilloise - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (81 of 86 users predict this - 94.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.25% – 99.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 5. Mac Allister K. 16. Burgess C. 48. Leysen F. 21. Castro-Montes A. 24. Vanhoutte C. 27. Sadiki N. 10. Lapoussin L. 8. Amani L. 29. Nilsson G. 23. Puertas C.	50. Restes G. (G) 3. Desler M. 6. Costa L. 2. Nicolaisen R. 17. Suazo G. 24. Casseres C. 8. Sierro V. (C) 7. Aboukhlal Z. 20. Schmidt N. 15. Donnum A. 9. Dallinga T.
Substitutes
47. Amoura M. 35. Huygevelde N. 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 26. Sykes R. 11. Teklab H. 17. Terho C. 34. Wenssens M. (G)	21. Bangre M. 14. Begraoui Y. 23. Diarra M. 30. Dominguez A. (G) 11. Gelabert Pina C. 5. Genreau D. 12. Kamanzi W. 25. Keben K. 40. Lacombe J. (G) 19. Magri F.
Coaches
Blessin A.	Martinez C.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Lotto Park.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Union SG will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Toulouse: Cissoko I. (Foot Injury) Skytta N. (Injury) Zanden O. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Union SG: Francois G. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.09.23	Saint-Gilloise - Genk	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Saint-Gilloise - Royal Antwerp	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Lugano - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
24.08.23	Saint-Gilloise - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.08.23	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
17.09.23	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Toulouse - Clermont	2:2 ✺
27.08.23	Strasbourg - Toulouse	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
13.08.23	Nantes - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLTW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Beveren - Saint-Gilloise	✺
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	✺

Saint-Gilloise - Toulouse