Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Italy	Sky Sport
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Atalanta		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.53
	5	4.8	1.55
	5	5.4	1.52	Watch
	5.2	5.08	1.55
	5.26	5.11	1.55
	4.75	5	1.55
	4.83	5.44	1.6
	4.8	4.9	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↑ (4.08)	5.09 ↑ (4.38)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
19.3%

Draw
18.9%

Liverpool
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

22.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

25.1%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liverpool's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.3%	9.5%	66.2%

Atalanta - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 18 - 24.3%). Liverpool will win (votes: 49 - 66.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 55.4% – 77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musso J. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 22. Ruggeri M. 7. Koopmeiners T. 59. Miranchuk Al. 90. Scamacca G.	1. Alisson (G) 66. Alexander-Arnold T. 5. Konate I. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 26. Robertson A. 8. Szoboszlai D. 17. Jones C. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 18. Gakpo C. 7. Diaz L.
Substitutes
25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 43. Bonfanti G. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 17. De Ketelaere C. 33. Hateboer H. 3. Holm E. 11. Lookman A. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 2. Toloi R. 10. Toure E. B.	13. Adrian (G) 42. Clark B. 76. Danns J. 20. Diogo Jota 19. Elliott H. 3. Endo W. 2. Gomez J. 38. Gravenberch R. 62. Kelleher C. (G) 9. Nunez D. 78. Quansah J. 21. Tsimikas K.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Klopp J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Salah M. (Pen),
43', Hien I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Diaz L. ↓, Diogo Jota ↑,
66', Salah M. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
66', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
72', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
75', Scamacca G. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
75', Ederson ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
77', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
79', Miranchuk Al. ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
79', Robertson A. ↓, Danns J. ↑,
90+1', Zappacosta D. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atalanta have a series of guest games.

Recently Liverpool have a series of home games.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Scalvini G. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Ankle Injury) Doak B. (Knee Injury) Matip J. (Knee Injury) Thiago (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
15.04.24	Atalanta - Verona	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Liverpool - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.04.24	Cagliari - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.04.24	Fiorentina - Atalanta	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
30.03.24	Napoli - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 TWLLW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
14.04.24	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Liverpool - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
07.04.24	Manchester United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
04.04.24	Liverpool - Sheffield United	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.04.24	Liverpool - Atalanta	0:3
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Liverpool - Atalanta	0:2
03.11.20	Atalanta - Liverpool	0:5

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