Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Arechi (Salerno)

Referee: Marinelli A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Salernitana		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.75
	2.14	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2.09	3.14	3.74	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.6
	2.11	3.26	3.69	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)	3.13 ↑ (3.11)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salernitana
44.6%

Draw
29.9%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Salernitana - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Christensen O. (G) 13. Ruggeri F. 33. Ferrari G. M. (C) 47. Lochoshvili L. 29. Ghiglione P. 98. Zuccon F. 73. Amatucci L. 16. Corazza T. 31. Verde D. 21. Soriano R. 90. Cerri A.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 30. Giorgini A. 19. Pietrangeli N. 34. Veseli F. 24. Davi S. 17. Casiraghi D. (C) 6. Martini J. 99. Praszelik M. 79. Molina S. 33. Merkaj S. 90. Odogwu R.
Substitutes
18. Caligara F. 12. Corriere F. (G) 2. Gentile D. 72. Girelli S. 27. Guasone J. 8. Hrustic A. 99. Raimondo A. 19. Reine-Adelaide J. 55. Sepe L. (G) 30. Stojanovic P. 70. Tello A. 7. Tongya F.	3. Barreca A. 20. Belardinelli L. 23. Ceppitelli L. 2. El Kaouakibi H. 9. Gori G. 28. Kofler R. 8. Mallamo A. 5. Masiello A. 1. Poluzzi G. (G) 18. Pyyhtia N. 7. Rover M. 21. Tait F.
Coaches
Marino P.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Casiraghi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Ghiglione P. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
59', Casiraghi D. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
59', Davi S. ↓, Barreca A. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Ferrari G. M. ⚽, Corazza T. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Pietrangeli N. ⚽,
70', Soriano R. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
70', Merkaj S. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
70', Martini J. ↓, Belardinelli L. ↑,
76', Cerri A. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
77', Verde D. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
77', Praszelik M. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
86', Corazza T. ↓, Tello A. ↑,
90+6', Mallamo A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Salernitana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Südtirol is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salernitana will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J. (Injury) Bronn D. (Injury) Jaroszynski P. (Injury) Njoh L. (Red Card) Reine-Adelaide J. (Inactive) Simy (Inactive) Wlodarczyk S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Südtirol: Arrigoni T. (Broken ankle) El Kaouakibi H. (Yellow Cards) Kurtic J. (Injury) Vimercati A. (Injury) Zedadka K. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie B
05.04.25	Juve Stabia - Salernitana	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Salernitana - Palermo	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Bari - Salernitana	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Salernitana - Modena	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Cesena - Salernitana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
05.04.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:5 ✺
28.02.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Salernitana	3:2
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Salernitana - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:0

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