Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 30

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)


	Salford City		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.87	3.4	4.1
	1.88	3.25	4.25
	1.96	3.25	3.55
	1.86	3.55	4.61
	1.8	3.5	4.4
	1.82	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.25)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	4.22 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salford City
50.5%

Draw
27.3%

Rochdale
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

29.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rochdale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Salford City - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Rochdale will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Salford has the most likely position - 5 (13.88%), has project points - 75, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (50%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 24 (38.67%), has project points - 38, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, importance 40, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Salford won 2.

Rochdale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Salford is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Salford won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Salford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
31.01.23	Salford City - Walsall	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	Crawley Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
24.01.23	Colchester United - Salford City	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Salford City - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.01.23	Cheltenham Town - Salford City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTWL
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
28.01.23	Rochdale - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Rochdale - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
10.01.23	Bradford City - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Rochdale - Newport County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.11.22	Rochdale - Salford City	1:0
English EFL Trophy
18.10.22	Rochdale - Salford City	2:3 penalties
English League Two
15.03.22	Rochdale - Salford City	1:1
19.10.21	Salford City - Rochdale	0:0
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Rochdale - Salford City	1:2

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