Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Spotland Stadium (Rochdale)

Referee: Coy M. (Eng)


	Rochdale		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.15	3.3	3.3
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.46	3.07	3.32
	2.38	3	3.2
	2.45	3.13	3.25	Watch
	2.33	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.18 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
39.8%

Draw
30.6%

Colchester United
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

29.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	42.9%	14.3%

Rochdale - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 and 20).

Rochdale has the most likely position - 22 (19.11%), has project points - 43, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Colchester has the most likely position - 19 (13.17%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 8, small importance 30, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Colchester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rochdale will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
10.01.23	Bradford City - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Rochdale - Newport County	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Barrow - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
29.12.22	Doncaster Rovers - Rochdale	4:3 ✺
26.12.22	Rochdale - Hartlepool United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTLL
- Colchester United
English League Two
07.01.23	Harrogate Town - Colchester United	1:3 ✺
01.01.23	Colchester United - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
29.12.22	Colchester United - AFC Wimbledon	1:2 ✺
26.12.22	Gillingham - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
10.12.22	Sutton United - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.09.22	Colchester United - Rochdale	0:1
01.02.22	Colchester United - Rochdale	1:1
27.08.21	Rochdale - Colchester United	1:1
English League One
08.05.16	Colchester United - Rochdale	1:2
19.12.15	Rochdale - Colchester United	3:1
07.03.15	Rochdale - Colchester United	2:1
13.12.14	Colchester United - Rochdale	1:4

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