The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa 12.3%
Draw 21.6%
Ceará 66.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
26.8%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.3%
25.9%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampaio Corrêa's form might have worsened.
Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceará's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-13.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceará, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Ceará will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Renan Rinaldi (G) 7. Adriano 10. Alan Stence 8. Alecio G. 3. Dede 6. Gabriel Fontes 9. Joao Carlos 5. Pedro Dias 2. Ray 11. Soeiro E. 4. Wesley (C)
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 29. Bruno Tubarao 20. Diego 33. Eder (C) 80. Guilherme Luiz 31. Lucas Lima 8. Matheus Araujo 30. Nicolas 7. Pedro Henrique 2. Ramos R. 23. Willian Machado
Substitutes
22. Bal 23. Dimas 12. Eduardo 19. Enzzo 14. Fabio Aguiar 13. Guilherme 15. Ibiapina C. 21. Jair 20. Kayo Fonseca 17. Paulo Silva 18. Verdun M. 16. Wadson
70. Fabiano 77. Fernandinho 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 88. Fernando Sobral 27. Galeano A. 97. Lourenco 10. Lucas Mugni 44. Marcos Victor 3. Marllon 9. Pedro Raul 40. Ramon Menezes 19. Romulo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
43', Ray 🟨,
44', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Guilherme Luiz ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
46', Bruno Tubarao ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Alan Stence ⚽,
56', Wesley 🟨,
64', Ramos R. ↓, Romulo ↑,
64', Lucas Lima ↓, Lourenco ↑,
69', Joao Carlos ↓, Ibiapina C. ↑,
70', Adriano ↓, Wadson ↑,
76', Alecio ↓, Jair ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Pedro Raul ⚽,
82', 🟨,
82', Soeiro E. ↓, Paulo Silva ↑,
82', Alan Stence ↓, Verdun M. ↑,
82', Pedro Henrique ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Galeano A. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 0.
In recent matches, Sampaio Corrêa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ceará's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sampaio Corrêa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Ceará is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
Brazil
Watch
#ad
Renan Rinaldi (G) 
Alecio G. 
Ramos R. 
Verdun M. 
Lucas Mugni 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
