Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)

Referee: Padovani Andrade D. J. (Bra)


	Sampaio Corrêa		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.45
	3	2.95	2.5	Watch
	3.16	2.91	2.69
	3.1	2.88	2.45
	3.06	3	2.49	Watch
	3.05	2.85	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.71)	2.9 ↓ (2.91)	2.51 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
30.6%

Draw
32.2%

Grêmio Novorizontino
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

32.6%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 14. Icaro 7. Claudinei 6. Para (C) 4. Gustavo Henrique 11. Pimentinha 21. Neto Paraiba 10. Robinho 19. Vitinho 23. Ytalo	44. Jordi (G) 26. Adriano Martins 37. Cesar Martins 4. Ligger 16. Reverson 95. Ze Mateus 5. Geovane 28. Marlon (C) 17. Romulo 77. Rodolfo 11. Aylon
Substitutes
13. Alyson Neves 3. Fabio Aguiar 8. Ferreira 22. Henrique 9. Jo 5. Joao Diogo 16. Lucas Mota 20. Mauricio Maranhao 15. Patrick Allan 17. Riquelmo 12. Thiago Braga (G) 18. Thiaguinho	23. Biel 7. Douglas Baggio 20. Felipe Marques 1. Georgemy (G) 18. Jenison 21. Joao Afonso 14. Paulo Eduardo 3. Renato 15. Ricardinho 35. Roberto 9. Ronaldo
Coaches
Fernando Marchiori	Eduardo Baptista

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Novorizontino could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sampaio Corrêa: Getterson (Injury) Henrique (Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Bryan (Injury) Leo Tocantins (Injury) Raul Prata (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Vila Nova	2:1 ✺
16.09.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Ponte Preta - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	ABC - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWTT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.23	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
25.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - ABC	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ceará	4:1 ✺
11.09.23	Avaí - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
30.08.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
10.06.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
07.09.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1
04.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0

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