Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Sampdoria		Genoa

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.8	2.87	2.85
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.8	2.85	2.85
	2.94	2.93	2.93
	2.8	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.85	2.96	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.43)	2.93 ↓ (3.21)	2.83 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
33.8%

Draw
32.5%

Genoa
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sampdoria's form might have worsened.

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampdoria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.8%	31.3%	23.9%

Sampdoria - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 30 - 44.8%). Genoa will win (votes: 16 - 23.9%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampdoria: 32.9% – 56.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 16 (31.13%), has project points - 34, has currently - 30, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Genoa has the most likely position - 19 (47.54%), has project points - 29, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 54, importance 67, match rating 60. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 1.

Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Genoa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Genoa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 10 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
23.04.22	Verona - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Sampdoria - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
11.04.22	Bologna - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Sampdoria - Roma	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Venezia - Sampdoria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
24.04.22	Genoa - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
15.04.22	Milan - Genoa	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Genoa - Lazio	1:4 ✺
04.04.22	Verona - Genoa	1:0 ✺
18.03.22	Genoa - Torino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
10.12.21	Genoa - Sampdoria	1:3
03.03.21	Genoa - Sampdoria	1:1
Coppa Italia
26.11.20	Sampdoria - Genoa	1:3
Italian Serie A
01.11.20	Sampdoria - Genoa	1:1
22.07.20	Sampdoria - Genoa	1:2
14.12.19	Genoa - Sampdoria	0:1
14.04.19	Sampdoria - Genoa	2:0

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