Match Info

Copa Ecuador - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4, DSports 7
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 4
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	San Antonio		LDU Quito

	1	X	2
	7.7	3.65	1.46
	4.55	3.7	1.52
	8.49	5.08	1.31	Watch
	6.75	3.79	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.87 ↑ (5.51)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Antonio
13.5%

Draw
22.8%

LDU Quito
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

25.5%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

24.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LDU Quito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

San Antonio - LDU Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). LDU Quito will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - LDU Quito (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. LDU Quito (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Estrada M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 0 - 2, Estrada M. ⚽,
62', Delpadre M. 🟥,
64', 0 - 3, Estrada M. ⚽,
90+2', 0 - 4, Cuero Mercado J. W. ⚽,

Preview

San Antonio has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

LDU Quito is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

LDU Quito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, LDU Quito is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

LDU Quito - the odds 1.59 are the expected chance of winning is 57.86%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Antonio Ibarra FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.09.25	9 de Octubre - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Gualaceo - San Antonio	2:2 ✺
17.09.25	San Antonio - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
11.09.25	Guayaquil City - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
02.09.25	San Antonio - 9 de Octubre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTTLT
- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.10.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - LDU Quito	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.09.25	São Paulo - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.09.25	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.09.25	LDU Quito - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.4 TWWLW

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