The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 50.8%
Draw 27.3%
Deportes Copiapó 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.4%
28.4%
25.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
26.8%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Copiapó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 36. Campos R. 8. Barrios A. 14. Guerra C. 23. Cazula A. 34. Barboza A. 10. Sagredo B. 19. Maidana A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 33. Benavides E. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
22. Temperini N. (G) 15. Santander J. (C) 18. Kimura N. 20. Filla M. 29. Sanchez S. 6. Zamorano C. 21. Fernandez E. 26. Perez G. 9. Palacios L. 23. Rojas M. 27. Lopez M.
Substitutes
22. Donadell N. 18. Galleguillos A. 4. Iturra M. 21. Orrego N. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
31. Fuenzalida I. 1. Leyton R. (G) 13. Opazo D. 8. Rios A. 7. Ross C. 19. Soza Quezada C. 3. Suarez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Fernandez E. 🟨,
34', Tapia B. 🟨,
36', Kimura N. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Lopez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Benavides E. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
73', Perez G. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
73', Rojas M. ↓, Suarez N. ↑,
74', Campos R. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
74', Sagredo B. ↓, Donadell N. ↑,
77', Sanchez S. 🟨,
80', 1 - 1, Donadell N. ⚽,
81', Barboza A. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Reyes G. ⚽,
88', Suarez N. 🟥,
90+3', Palacios L. ↓, Soza Quezada C. ↑,
90+3', Fernandez E. ↓, Fuenzalida I. ↑,
90+6', Maidana A. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
90+6', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
90+7', Zamorano C. 🟨,
90+10', Santander J. 🟨,
90+12', Donadell N. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 1.
San Marcos de Arica is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Copiapó is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
San Marcos de Arica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Marcos de Arica is the team to beat.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
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Tapia B. (G) 
Cazula A. 
Barboza A. 
Zedan N. 
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