Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 26

Date: 24 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez (San Juan)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)


	San Martín de San Juan		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	4
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2.1	2.8	4.2
	2.15	2.92	4.21
	2.05	2.88	3.8
	2.05	3.08	4.1
	2.12	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.13)	2.95 ↑ (2.93)	3.94 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de San Juan
44.6%

Draw
31.7%

Defensores de Belgrano
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Molina A. 2. Aguirre A. 6. Villegas J. C. 3. Bontempo L. 8. Llano Massa M. T. 5. Blanco J. 11. Grahl F. 7. Arturia M. 9. Donato M. 10. Gonzalez S.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Levi M. 2. Del Grecco N. 6. Moreira R. 3. Formica L. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Benitez M. 10. Salto C. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. 9. Benegas N.
Substitutes
17. Acosta L. 18. Borasi B. 12. Borgogno M. (G) 19. Gordillo L. 14. Pelaitay N. 20. Regalado L. 16. Sanchez C. 13. Sienra A. 15. Vega A.	18. Ceratto M. 15. Chavez F. 20. De Tomasso J. 13. Gaita V. 17. Machado C. 19. Molina M. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 16. Rumbolo R. 14. Torres D.
Coaches
Monasterio C.	Mayor C.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

San Martín will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Martín won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Martín won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de San Juan
Copa Argentina
20.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Vélez Sársfield	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.07.23	Almirante Brown - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Deportivo Morón	4:0 ✺
30.06.23	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	San Martín de San Juan - Patronato Parana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	Def. de Belgrano awarded ✺
02.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 L?WLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.23	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	0:1
02.08.22	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	2:0
03.09.21	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0
24.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano - San Martín de San Juan	1:1

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