Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 19

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Telmo		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.75	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.7
				Watch
	2.82	2.94	2.87
				Watch
	2.62	2.88	2.75
	2.64	2.88	2.76
	2.6	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.6)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	2.76 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
34.8%

Draw
31.8%

Chacarita Juniors
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Chacarita Juniors have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

San Telmo - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Telmo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Dell Aquila N. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Sosa R. 8. Tello F. 5. Yangali J. 10. Aguirre F. 7. Porto J. 9. Cocimano S. 11. Larthirigoyen I.	1. Avellaneda N. (G) 6. Errecalde G. 2. Rebola A. 3. Quiroga A. 4. Gonzalez J. 11. Ortiz T. 5. Bravo F. 10. Figueroa V. (C) 8. Chaves N. 7. Ciccolini L. 9. Costa R.
Substitutes
18. Astina M. 16. Britez E. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 13. Formichelli S. 20. Ochoa J. 14. Ojeda L. 17. Salerno M. 15. Uriburu R. 19. Zurbriggen J.	14. Acosta S. 13. Andueza F. 20. Apa S. 15. Araujo A. 16. Blanco R. 19. Chocobar V. 18. Melendez M. 17. Quiroz M. 12. Strumia J. (G)
Coaches
Monasterio C.	Azconzabal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Costa R. ↓, Apa S. ↑,
38', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
45', Bravo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aguirre F. ↓, Salerno M. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
69', Chaves N. ↓, Melendez M. ↑,
69', Ciccolini L. ↓, Chocobar V. ↑,
76', Tello F. ↓, Britez E. ↑,
76', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
76', Quiroga A. 🟨,
79', Yangali J. 🟥,
81', Errecalde G. ↓, Andueza F. ↑,
81', Figueroa V. ↓, Blanco R. ↑,
88', Astina M. 🟨,
89', Sosa R. ↓, Astina M. ↑,
89', Porto J. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

San Telmo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chacarita is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Telmo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.06.25	San Telmo - Nueva Chicago	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	San Telmo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	San Telmo - Agropecuario Argentino	3:3 ✺
25.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - San Telmo	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Central Norte - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TTTTW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
01.06.25	Chacarita Juniors - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Chacarita Juniors - Central Norte	4:0 ✺
11.05.25	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.02.25	Chacarita Juniors - San Telmo	1:1
27.08.22	Chacarita Juniors - San Telmo	4:1

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